LATEST ON CYCLONE VANIA

January 13, 2011

Tropical Cyclone “VANIA” formed east of Vanuatu on Wednesday, and is currently moving southwest across the southern islands of Tanna and Erromango. This system is expected to intensify and reach the New Caledonian region on Friday, before moving southward towards the Norfolk Island area this weekend. The future track beyond this time is uncertain.

“Computer output from various global models are producing different tracks for this system next week”, commented MetService Weather Ambassador, Bob McDavitt.  “One scenario is that the system fades away near Norfolk Island and another scenario is that it may continue going south or southeast.”

McDavitt added that if the system does head for New Zealand, it may bring a day or two of wind and rain to the North Island between Tuesday 18 and Thursday 20 January. “People planning outdoor activities or travel around the North Island are advised at this stage that they may need to take this into account and should check weather updates regularly next week.” Weather updates are available on the website metservice.com, and, for mobiles, on m.metservice.com.

ENDS

For further information please contact:
Bob McDavitt       Weather Ambassador           (09)377 4831
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MetService issues Warnings, Watches and Outlooks for severe weather over New Zealand.
Warnings are about taking action:
* When severe weather is imminent or is occurring
* Issued only when required
* Recommendation: ACT
Watches are about being alert:
* When severe weather is possible, but not sufficiently imminent or certain for a Warning to be issued
* Issued only when required
* Recommendation: BE READY
Outlooks are about looking ahead:
* To provide advance information on possible future Watches and/or Warnings
* Issued routinely once or twice a day
* Recommendation: PLAN
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(C) Copyright Meteorological Service of New Zealand Ltd 2011

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