VANIA’S REMNANTS LIKELY TO REACH NORTH ISLAND

January 14, 2011

Tropical Cyclone “Vania” is currently moving across eastern New Caledonia, and is expected to slowly weaken as it passes the Norfolk Island area on Saturday.

“Computer output from various global models are now producing a reasonably consistent future track for this system”, commented MetService Weather Ambassador, Bob McDavitt.

“Vania” is likely to leave the tropics late Saturday and then slowly unravel.  However, there are several isobars compacted around its centre, and there may be another tropical system chasing it on Sunday.

“MetService now has moderate confidence that the remnants of “Vania” may bring a day or two of heavy rain and severe gales to parts of the North Island, and northern regions of the South Island, on Tuesday 18th and Wednesday 19th January.”

MetService forecasters will keep a close eye on these two active systems. Weather over the North Island is expected to be settled this weekend for boaties wishing to check their moorings in advance. People planning travel or outdoor activities around the North Island and northern parts of the South Island may take the latest updates into account by checking the Severe Weather Outlook and Warnings page on metservice.com website, or, for mobiles, on m.metservice.com.

ENDS

For further information please contact:
Bob McDavitt       Weather Ambassador           (09)377 4831
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MetService issues Warnings, Watches and Outlooks for severe weather over New Zealand.
Warnings are about taking action:
* When severe weather is imminent or is occurring
* Issued only when required
* Recommendation: ACT
Watches are about being alert:
* When severe weather is possible, but not sufficiently imminent or certain for a Warning to be issued
* Issued only when required
* Recommendation: BE READY
Outlooks are about looking ahead:
* To provide advance information on possible future Watches and/or Warnings
* Issued routinely once or twice a day
* Recommendation: PLAN
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(C) Copyright Meteorological Service of New Zealand Ltd 2011

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